Earth_2100(地球2100)字幕【技巧類別】

《Earth_2100(地球2100)字幕【技巧類別】》由會(huì)員分享，可在線閱讀，更多相關(guān)《Earth_2100(地球2100)字幕【技巧類別】（25頁珍藏版）》請?jiān)谘b配圖網(wǎng)上搜索。

1、 THE EARTH 2100 LUCY In my life, I've seen New York City under full quarantine. The Midwest, overrun, devastated by pests. Plagues sweep across California. And then what happened next was something none of us saw coming. It became a race against time to save our future, to even have a future. It'

2、s the year 2100 and I--survived. To change the future, first you have to imagine it. "Earth 2100" starts now. HOST(MAIN) The idea that within this century, perhaps in your lifetime, our civilization could lie in ruins seems unbelievable. But according to some of the world's leading minds, tha

3、t's not just a worst-case scenario, it's a real possibility. Good evening, I'm Bob Woodruff. Over the next two hours, we'll take you on a journey into a world that could await us and our children. 370,000 babies will be born today. And we've taken the liberty of creating one more, a fictional chara

4、cter we're calling Lucy, who will be our guide through this century. Her life story is not a prediction about what will happen, but what might happen. Jun 02 2100 This once glorious city, whose lights at night could be seen for miles, empty now. It's towering skyscrapers, once a testament to o

5、ur ingenuity, now stand as crumbling monuments to our demise. JOHN PEDESTA “Maybe only artists can grasp what that kind off future really holds for us. It's perhaps in the area that we think of today as science fiction, but that could be a very real future for the planet.” JARED DIAMOND “A hundr

6、ed years from now, if New York is abandoned, I can imagine some advanced creatures, maybe humans, maybe extraterrestrials, looking at New York and saying, those ignorant people, how on Earth could they have ever expected to survive?” LUCY I can ask myself what happened, but where do I begin? With

7、the droughts, the famines, the plague? It began long before all that. I lived through it all. My story is everyone's story, the story of the last century. JUN 02 2009 LUCY I was born June 2nd, 2009. Civilization was at a crossroads. We were in a race for our future. OBAMA Today, I say to yo

8、u that the challenges we face are real. They are serious and they are many. NEWS The temperature is expected to keep going up. The stock market plunged. Douglas County will run out of drinking water. OBAMA They will not be met easily or in a short span of time. NEWS Sixth grader came down w

9、ith suspected swine flu on Wednesday. THOMAS HOMER DIXON Energy, climate, food, population, economic pressures, any one of these challenges might be very serious in itself. But because they're happening all simultaneously, it's going to be very difficult for our governments to cope. JARED DIAMON

10、D When I look at the next century, I feel it's up for grabs. NEWS - Raising sea levels... - Catastrophic weather. - Ten-year drought... - it's scary. -These are things that are happening today. -The time for action is now. LUCY The world had never known such uncertainty. We were used to ha

11、ving what we wanted and doling what we wanted. JARED DIAMOND The analogy that I would draw is someone looking at their bank account and week after week, they're withdrawing money and they're enjoying the good life. If they would bother to read the statements, they would see that the bank account i

12、s dropping $900, $800, $700, $600. And at that rate you know that another six months of the good life is not gonna be a good life anymore. PETER GLEICK We've acted as though we were independent of the environment. We burned fossil fuels. We've overused our renewable resources in the belief that w

13、e could do that forever. VAN JONES People are complaining about the economic crisis we have right now. You haven't seen nothing yet. You know, if we continue down this suicidal pathway that we're on, where we basically turn living stuff into dead stuff and call that economic growth, this will look

14、 like the good old days. APR 24 2012 THE GOOD OLD DAYS Although the world I was born into was running out of so much, water, oil, land, I remember a loving family, a big house, green lawn, more water than we knew what to do with. My parents must have known what was happening. We had a compact

15、 car and recycled. And it wasn't just us. Smart, imaginative people everywhere were working furiously on solutions. Our government was pouring money into alternative energy. It seemed like everyone was growing their own vegetable garden. Windmills were sprouting up all over. People were beginning to

16、 understand. But the clock was running out, and nature was always one step ahead. TERRY ROOT Flowers are blooming earlier and trees are leafing earlier. Birds are coming back from migration much earlier. JANINE BENYLUS If you were to pull back from the Earth, what you would see is sort of a ref

17、ugee movement, if you will. And species are moving their ranges farther north to get to cool, from south to north, and from the valleys up to the mountain tops. AUG 27 2014 SUMMER OF THE DRAGONFLY LUCY Of course, as a child, I didn't notice these things, having nothing to compare it to. I was

18、 a little girl enchanted by my small world. Until one summer, thousands, maybe millions, of dragonflies showed up out of nowhere. They were delicate and beautiful and I put one in a jar. My mother was puzzled and looked them up. They were supposed to be in Cuba, not Miami. It was not until much late

19、r that I realized they were a sign of what was to come. HOST(MAIN) It's 2015, six short years from now, and the best-laid plans are getting underway. A wave farm off Scotland is harnessing the ocean's energy. Vatican City has gone totally solar. And here in America, cars are running cleaner and mo

20、re efficiently. Still, we cling to that old habit, oil, and it's getting harder and more expensive to find. NEWS From coast to coast, motorists are searching for relief from soaring gas prices in California... THOMAS HOMER DIXON We could see a doubling or tripling of real oil prices, that's afte

21、r inflation. MICHAEL KLARE We're running out of oil and we've created a society, the American way of life is what we call it, based on the assumption that oil will be plentiful forever. THOMAS HOMER DIXON The large spread out suburbs that we've grown accustomed to, the strip malls, the big box

22、stores with their enormous parking lots around them, all of those have been made possible because we've had cheap gasoline, and as energy becomes much more expensive, you'll see that those areas become less desirable places to live. FEB 18 2015 MOVING DAY LUCY The first time I moved, I was s

23、ix. A lot of people were leaving the suburbs for the city. There were new jobs, and you didn't need a car for everything. My dad was going to work on the new streetcar system in Miami. And my mother told me we were going to live on the top floor of an apartment building. She said we'd see the palm t

24、rees below us. I was excited, but also a little sad to leave. NEWS As the price of oil goes up, It will ripple through every part of the global economy. In Washington today, protesters demanded an end to rising food prices. Our agriculture system is almost wholly dependent on cheap oil. JAMES H

25、OWARD KUNSTLER Tremendous amounts of diesel fuel that are used in planting and harvesting and then moving the stuff, all these vast distances. HEIDI CULLEN By 2015 in the United States, add about 20 million people to the population and then just play out what that does to consumption patterns. I

26、mean, the, the number of people that we've got to feed. There's just basically this slow, creeping tension for natural resources. HOST As the American way of life becomes increasingly unsustainable, the rest of the world will be trying to catch up. ELIZABETH ECONOMY The Chinese like cars. And t

27、hey like big cars. You have 14,000 cars out onto China's roads daily. ROZ MAYLOR Incomes are rising really rapidly. They're moving into meat-based diets. HOST You need 10 pounds of grain to get one pound of meat. There is simply no way that the rest of the world can start eating meat the way

28、we do. HOST If everyone in the world consumed as much as the average American, It would take the resources of four Earths to support the planet's population, which raises the question, should the rest of the world consume less, or should we? American habits, though, are hard to break. RICHARD HE

29、INBERG We in the US have gotten used to the idea that we're somehow immune to natural limits and it's the other people who are going to suffer. JUL 14 2015 RUNNING ON EMPTY NEWS Good morning, Miami. The summer of 2015 is on track to become one of the hottest in history. Temperatures are exp

30、ected to be in the triple digits. LUCY My mother and I were waiting for gas. The line went around the block and then some. Nothing new. But this time, the line had stopped moving altogether. A man who worked at the gas station came out holding a sign. People started yelling and they got out of the

31、ir cars and started moving towards him. My mother got us out of there fast. SEP 08 2015 NEWS I've been staking out an area that's been hit hard recently by gas snatchers. Look at him, he gets out, walks right up to the car. Wow. Look at this, right in the middle of the day. There's cars goin

32、g by, and these guys are -siphoning gas out of someone's car. In the face of mounting protests over rising gas and food prices, Congress today approved a plan to fund the construction of 40 new coal-fired power plants over the next five years. LUCY The country took the easy way out. Coal was once

33、 again touted as our so- called salvation. But the more coal we burned, the faster our planet warmed. You get the picture. PETER CLEICK We're spewing more carbon, more methane, more nitrous oxide into the atmosphere. All the bad things of climate change are coming true. LUCY And most people wer

34、e just going along with their everyday lives as if nothing had changed. THOMAS HOMER DIXON And until we have a crisis of some kind, I don't think we're going to be motivated to wake up and say, okay, now we have to change. JOHN PODESTA Sometimes it takes a big shock to get people, you know, ou

35、t of the inertia that, that, that's built into the system. OCT 21 2015 WAKE UP CALL (12:15) NEWS They're calling it the storm of the century, Hurricane Linda packing Category 5 winds. LUCY Big storms weren't unusual. But this one was bigger than the others. And it was headed for Miami. NEW

36、S All coastal regions are being evacuated. This storm makes landfall, we're going to see a tremendous storm surge. LUCY My mother was a nurse and she wouldn't leave until all the sick were evacuated from the hospital. My father was afraid we wouldn't get out in time. I was afraid too. NEWS Thos

37、e who make the decision not to evacuate face life threatening danger, between the howling winds and those giant surging waves. Miami is a very scary place to be right now. HOST 2015 is only six years away, but many experts say that if the world has not reached an agreement to massively reduce gree

38、nhouse gases by then, we could pass the point of no return. JOHN HOLDRED If we're still dragging our feet in 2015, it really becomes almost impossible for the world to avert a degree of climate change that we simply will not be able to manage. THOMAS HOMER DIXON The longer we wait without addres

39、sing these challenges in an aggressive way, the more likely it is we're going to end up with really bad outcomes. NEWS This morning, in the aftermath of Hurricane Linda, we are seeing the first images of what remains of Miami. Neighbouring communities have been overwhelmed by hundreds of thousan

40、ds of evacuees seeking refuge. OCT 23 2015 AFTER THE STORM(14:00) LUCY The evacuation center was as big as an airplane hangar. Maybe it was an airplane hangar. And so jammed with people, It was hard to move. It was hot. It was noisy. We were there three weeks. There was nowhere for us to go. N

41、owhere for anybody to go. We watched the news on TV. I was only six, but it looked to me like the whole world was in trouble. NEWS Some 250,000 Bangladeshi refugees fleeing from last month's devastating cyclone are massing on the Indian border. Thousands riot as China faces it's worst wheat shorta

42、ges in a decade, the result of seemingly endless drought. World leaders are gathering in Washington, DC to attend an emergency global summit meeting. Hopes are high that the world might finally reach an historic climate agreement. EO WILSON This is the first time the whole planet is in that kind

43、 of a crisis and the whole planet has to join in meeting a crisis of epical proportions. HOST In 2008, the Center for the New American Security, a Washington think tank, staged an elaborate game. The goal was to simulate a global summit on climate change. The year is 2015. The context for the game

44、 is Lucy's context. Miami has been devastated by a hurricane, and Bangladesh ravaged by a cyclone. The people who are playing the roles of global leaders are in fact high level policymakers from around the world. “Let me be very clear, our time is running out. ” John Podesta, President Obama's trans

45、ition chief, is playing the role of UN Secretary General. “Indeed today, in October of 2015, no country, no city is exempt from the ravages of climate change as we saw so tragically with the Category 5 hurricane that hit Miami.” HOST In the game, the Secretary General has asked for a 30% reduction

46、 In emissions by 2025. The US team holds a closed-door strategy session. “It's very important for us to strike that very positive leadership tone right out of the box.” “We have to be much faster and more serious about emission reductions.” “We need to do 30% .- By 2025?- By 2025.” HOST But th

47、ere's a strong disagreement about whether the American public would be willing to make that kind of sacrifice. “Basically, the odds of a 30% reduction in the United States in 10 years is zero.” “The world is going to hell in a hand basket and we're saying, gee, can we stretch this out?” HOST Eve

48、n If the United States were willing to make these reductions, this is a global crisis that needs global action. The US calls a meeting with China. “We have an inherent responsibility to our people to take action.” HOST In 2015, China and India are in fact projected to account for more than 30% of

49、 the world's carbon emissions. But in the simulation, they're unwilling to agree to a treaty they feel limits their economic growth. For both countries, the issue is fairness. “The Western countries went through a very energy intensive development process, became rich by burning coal and burning o

50、il. Can countries like India and China do it without burning as much fossil fuel as the West?” “We have to go greener. You have the technology and you have the capital and you're prepared to help us grow on a greener path. ” HOST China and India say they will agree to the cuts in greenhouse gas e

51、missions only if the West hands over the technology needed to do so. “China would wish to get the technology for the third generation of nuclear power plants.” HOST But Europe and the US refuse. The technology belongs to private companies. Instead, they offer to help pay the costs of switching to

52、 cleaner energy. “You do the emissions reduction, and we give the money for the emissions reduction that you've done.” “If- somebody, you know, you have the money but you do not have the technology, and then you cannot reduce any emissions. ” HOST The whole summit hinges on whether they can come

53、 to an understanding. “So we're not putting any pressures. We're just offering, and I think it's a good offer.” “We do not accept the offer.” NEWS The planet summit broke down today when China and India refused to agree to cuts in greenhouse gas emissions. “Ultimately, all the teams fell shor

54、t. ” “That perhaps is the, the saddest element coming out of this, which is the pace of change just doesn't seem to be in keeping with the magnitude of the challenge.” HOST Scientists say that If this is how our leaders respond in 2015, the entire planet will be at risk. JOHN HOLDREN If we cont

55、inue on the business-as-usual trajectory, there will be a tipping point that we cannot avert. We will indeed drive the car over the cliff. LUCY There was a story my mother once told me I'll never forget. You put a frog in a pot of cold water and turn the heat on. The water warms so gradually that

56、the frog doesn't notice. It never realizes the precise moment it's cooked. THOMAS HOMER DIXON The frog will sit there because it's not able to detect the small changes in temperature that are making his life increasingly dangerous. And we're in the same sort of situation. We're so adaptable in our

57、 evolution as a species, an adaptability that's allowed us to really, in a sense, conquer nature and conquer the world. But at this point, that adaptability is actually a real threat to our existence. LUCY As I grew up, it became increasingly clear that we were the frogs. After our home was destro

58、yed by the hurricane, my family moved to San Diego. Maybe because it was as far away from Miami as we could get. NEWS Finally, this evening, saving our seas. The federal government has released a major assessment on the oceans. The news is not good. It's going to be tough to drive this summer. Ga

59、s prices are expected to soar even higher. Increased heat speeds up evaporation cycles. In fact, these changes can be seen worldwide... Scientists report from the Arctic the tundra is thawing faster than expected. The United Nations announced today that there are now eight billion people living

60、on Earth. JAN 06 2030 THE NEW NORMAL(20:52) LUCY It's amazing what you can come to take for normal. By the time I was in my 20s, shortages and higher prices were just a fact of everyday life. After high school, I decided to train as an EMT. I wanted to be useful, and this seemed the perfect k

61、ind of work. HOST（MAIN） So what else will be normal in 2030? One thing, it will be warmer, about one and a half degrees Fahrenheit warmer. Enough to dramatically alter the planet's weather and rainfall. Canada and Siberia, for example, will be wetter and hotter. But for much of the world, rain wil

62、l be scarce. And so will its most basic need, water. JANINE BENYUS By 2030, two-thirds of the world's population will be underwater stress. In Asia, for example, glaciers on the Tibetan Plateau act as a giant reservoir for billions of people. DAN SCHRAG All over the world, as the climate warms

63、, mountain glaciers are melting at faster and faster rates. HOST By 2030, 80% of those glaciers may be gone. If the glaciers disappear, much of the food supply will disappear, as well. HEIDI CULLEN These glaciers provide stream flow in the summer during the dry months that you can use to irriga

64、te your crops. When those glaciers are gone, you've got a massive drought situation. HOST In 2030, Africa could be facing extreme and widespread drought. EDWARD MIGUEL Rainfall levels are gonna continue to drop over time in Africa, especially in these fragile regions, like the Sahel. When the ra

65、ins fail and people don't have enough to eat, they often turn to desperate means to survive. HOST And in the US in 2030, many of the massive reservoirs fed by the Colorado River will be drying up. HEIDI CULLEN We talk about the Southwest moving into drought as, as a way to, to describe what's go

66、nna happen. But technically, the Southwest, it's not gonna be in drought, it's gonna become a desert. FEB 14 2030 IN DEEP WATER(23:05) LUCY In San Diego, they were ahead of the game. In 2009, they had started building huge desalination plants. It took 20 years and cost billions of dollars, but it worked. The massive plants on the ocean turned saltwater into fresh, and the city's water supply was restored. 400 miles inland, though, they were running out. And no one had enough money to buil