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外文文獻
Complicated power system in our country, in order to be able to further understand the development situation of power system in our country, to our country electric power system were investigated. Overall status quo of China's electric power system is better, with the growth of economy, electricity demand is also more and more big, but there are regional differences. Power structure in some problems, should adjust the structure of the power supply, should from the following three aspects: one is each kind of power supply especially thermal power need to adjust technological progress; The second is the proportion of hydropower, thermal power and other forms of power generation should be reasonably adjust; 3 it is layout of power supply should be adjusted, too. Reserves of coal resources in our country, but its reasonable distribution. High load such as the east China area has coal, coal in northern most concentrated in the northwest and north China. And is suitable to build hydropower place mostly in the west. Hydropower resources, but the distribution is not reasonable. Should adjust the layout by power grid construction for power resources optimize a vast variety of renewable resources in China
Affected by economic growth, especially the strong industrial production growth, demand for electricity in China to achieve high growth, but our country electricity distribution growth area. Electricity growth according to regional distribution is very uneven, the overall electricity strong growth China's eastern coastal economic developed region, the western region more energy-intensive industrial distribution provinces electricity growth is bigger also, slower growth in central China, China's electric power system load also presents a structural change. Now environmental problems more and more serious, now of the electric power construction must consider this. In the second part introduces the present situation of electric power system in China, the third part is the development trend of power system in our country.
power supply structure adjust the electric power industry in our country's industrial policy purpose is to optimize the power structure, strengthening the construction of power grid. Priority to the development of hydropower, nuclear power, wind power, solar power, biomass and other renewable energy and new energy, while the coal based on the optimization of structure, resource conservation, attaches great importance to environmental protection, raise the level of technical and economic.Big pressure on small measures for improvement of the thermal power industry average single capacity, enhance the overall economic benefits of the industry, improve the environmental benefits. For new energy policies and planning, will lead to lower proportion of thermal power in electric power, increase the proportion of water and electricity, nuclear power, wind power, optimize the electricity structure.Changes in industry structure at the same time, measure the factors of electric power enterprise competitiveness is also changing. Energy-saving power generation dispatching method, to a great extent, changed the competitive landscape industry enterprises; The high proportion of new energy power generation companies, high resource utilization will be more long-term competitive advantage.
In the face of the serious of our country
Our energy resources and the imbalance of the power load distribution, determine the "China" is the inevitable choice of our country. China is focused on conveying hydroelectric power. In accordance with the principle of economy, moderate construction of coal-fired power plant, the implementation xd to east.Send at present, China has entered the stage of full implementation: guizhou province to guangdong 500 kv ac and dc power transmission and transformation projects have been put into production operation, to guangdong power scale has reached 10.88 million kilowatts. Three gorges to east China, guangdong + 500 kv dc power transmission and transformation project has been put into production. Stake, shanxi, shaanxi region send to jing jin tang net capacity increased gradually. North China and the northeast, fujian and east China, each with a batch of network such as central China project has been put into operation, interregional exchange capacity reach 86.2 billion KWH in 2003.As of July 2005, in addition to the hainan has preliminarily realized the networking, preliminary achieved across the optimal allocation of regional resources, more frequency on power exchange between the regional power grid
wind power construction scale is gradually expanding. Starting from "seventh construction of wind farms, by the end of 2004, China has built 43 wind farm, the cumulative installed 1292 units, with a total installed capacity of 764000 kilowatts, accounted for 0.17% of the country's electricity installed. Stand-alone capacity of 2000 kilowatts.
geothermal power generation applications. By the end of 1993, Tibetan geothermal power to reach 28.13 gw, which accounts for 94% of geothermal power generation capacity (including Taiwan); Generating capacity of 97 million KWH, Lhasa grid by about 20%.
solar power began to start. By 1999, cumulative installed capacity of more than 13 mw photovoltaic power generation system. Build capacity of 1 2004 mw of solar power system, this is China and Asia at present a total installed capacity of the grid photovoltaic power generation system, at the same time, also is one of the few in the world of megawatt one of large-scale solar photovoltaic power generation systems.
small hydropower construction made great achievement. By the end of 2000, China has built more than 40000 for small hydropower projects.
the national economy sustained and rapid growth, huge pull function on the power. In the 1970 s, basic in long-term serious power shortage situation in China, the shortage of electricity supply is a major bottleneck restricting the development of economy. With the power industry rapid development, in 1997 began to implement the basic balance of the power supply and demand, supply parts. Entering the new century, with China's implementation of western development strategy, implement active fiscal policy and economic policy of expanding domestic demand, the sustainable development of the national economy and power demand growth also reached record high. After the electricity increased by 9% in 2001, rising to 11.8% in 2002, rising to 15.4% in 2003, rising to 14.8% in 2004. The economically developed Yangtze river delta, the pearl river delta and other coastal areas demand continued strong power. Starting from the second half of 2002, the country's electricity supply and demand situation and hasten is intense, power-generation utilization greatly increased hours (use), local area began to enable power brownouts
unbalanced economic development, make the electricity demand imbalance. Affected by economic growth, especially the strong industrial production growth, demand for electricity in China to achieve high growth, but our country electricity distribution growth area. Electricity growth according to regional distribution is very uneven, the overall electricity strong growth China's eastern coastal economic developed region, the western region more energy-intensive industrial distribution provinces electricity growth is bigger also, slower growth in central China. Main show is:
(1) electricity load is generally higher than electricity consumption growth, is uncertain. Summer performance for load growth fast, winter show the power consumption is growing faster.
(2) with the increase proportion of summer cooling load, the temperature climate forgrowth effect is more and more big, the maximum load, maximum load growth increases randomness, is sensitive to temperature, the greater the thermal field of high temperature season area expands unceasingly, the network has reached the highest load at the same time. In addition to the northeast, northwest, load curve is a double-peak shape it
To optimize the power structure is the proportion of coal is very high, and is growing rapidly in recent years, proportion, further improve the hydropower development rate is low, the proportion of clean power generation installed gross capacity of smaller; Second is 200000 mw and below units more than 100 million kw (4403), one of 100000 mw and below 65.7 million kw (3993), combined with the current small units shut down around the pace of the slowdown in the unit, enterprise should bring along their own fuel increased, coal and fuel oil still possess too high proportion, small unit in operation of 600000 mw and above thermal power unit only 55 units, large unit number is less; Three is in the operation of air cooling unit capacity of about 5 million kilowatts, compared with three norths capacity in water shortage regions, the proportion is low, its water saving advantages did not show up; Four is less cogeneration units, urban central heating rate is 27%; Five is the power load capacity is insufficient, rely mainly on coal-fired thermal power unit load reduction operation, load efficiency is poor.
Electricity production major technical indicators with the international level there is a certain gap. Level not enough advanced thermal power unit parameters, subcritical unit accounted for 40% and above parameters, high pressure, superhigh pressure parameter set (29%), high voltage unit and the following parameters (31%); Only 9.6 million mw supercritical unit, accounting for 2.95% of the total thermal power installed. Domestic economy lags behind that of the corresponding in the large sets of imported units, 300000 mw capacity level, domestic subcritical unit's power supply coal consumption is higher than import unit 4 to 12 g/kWh. 600000 kw capacity level, domestic subcritical unit's power supply coal consumption is higher than import unit 20 to 23 g/kWh, higher than the imported supercritical unit 28 ~ 39.5 g/kWh. In 300000 mw and 600000 mw subcritical unit main, auxiliary engine introduction of digestion process, due to factors such as main, auxiliary engine output, reliability, formed from the standard, design and management requirements increase auxiliaries with margin, led directly to the auxiliary engine run away from economic condition, auxiliary power increases, unit economy decline. Average rate of power grid
resource conditions restrict development. Hydropower in China, coal is abundant, oil and gas resources is insufficient, and the distribution is very uneven. Hydropower resources, the highest in the world, but more than three quarters of the water resources distribution in the west. Proven coal reserves in our country in the world third, with 55% of the world's average per capita reserves. Natural gas and oil reserves per capita in China is only the world average of 11% and 4.5%. New energy such as wind and solar power generation restricted by technical factors, are intermittent energy sources, might be accounted for in the short term is not too much, need to lead positive development.
power are increasing contradictions between development and resources and environment. Electric power production is highly dependent on coal, a large number of development and coal burning caused environmental problems, including the ground subsidence, ground water system is destroyed, the acid rain harm geographic area expands year by year, large amounts of greenhouse gas and solid waste emission, etc. Thermal power needs to cost a lot of fresh water resources, and fresh water resources shortage in our country, per capita is for 1/4 of the world average, and uneven distribution, including an acute shortage of water in north China and northwest regions. At the same time, China's soil and water loss, land desertification in the world and one of the serious environmental pollution. To analysis China's stage of development, the future for several years, is a large number of resources consumed, the conflict between man and nature is very fierce. The current energy consumption way, is our energy, water and environment capacity cannot support.
need to shift the economic growth pattern. Current our country's economy is still belongs to the high input, high consumption, high emission, not harmonious, difficult circulation and low efficiency of the extensive growth pattern. If the electricity growth rates of recent years, the 2020 national electricity demand up to 11 trillion KWH, corresponding power 2.4 billion kw, will be more than 5 billion tons of coal for electricity generation, is six times now, this is clearly impossible. Under the background of sustained, rapid economic growth, economic growth medium and long term to be covered in the GDP figures have risen sharply shortage is gradually revealed, bring economic operation concern directly. Economic growth requires a fundamental shift, to ensure the sustainable development of national economy.Since the reform and opening, through scientific and technological progress and improve efficiency, declining output current consumption in our country, the power consumption from 1980 to 0.21 KWH per unit of output in 2000 fell to 0.151 KWH, down 0.059 KWH. If still can maintain such a decline over the next 20 years, according to the goal of quadrupling GDP in 2020, approximately
improve power grid safety requirements. Power grid into a period of rapid development in our country, the power grid with large transmission power, realize inter-basin adjustment, reduce the reserve capacity, delay the new unit put into production, electric power industry as a whole to reduce costs, improve the efficiency, etc. But with the further expansion of power grid, the increase in the number of factors affect the safety, the technology is more complex, more needs to coordinate, and the accident might spread to a wider range, the damage would be even greater. August 14 with power grid accident caused widespread power outages to ring alarm bells around the world, power grid power higher safety requirements.
漢語文獻
我國電力系統(tǒng)情況復(fù)雜，為了能夠深入了解我國電力系統(tǒng)的發(fā)展形勢，對我國電力的系統(tǒng)進行了調(diào)查。我國電力系統(tǒng)的整體現(xiàn)狀比較好，隨著經(jīng)濟的增長，電力需求也越來越大，但是存在地區(qū)的差異。電源結(jié)構(gòu)也存在在一些問題，要調(diào)整這種電源結(jié)構(gòu)，需從以下三個方面著手：一是每一種電源尤其火電需要進行技術(shù)進步調(diào)整；二是水電、火電及其他發(fā)電形式的比例應(yīng)合理調(diào)整；三是電源布局也應(yīng)調(diào)整。我國煤炭資源儲藏量不少，但分布極不合理。負荷高的地方如華東地區(qū)基本沒有煤，煤大部分集中在西北部或華北北部。而適宜建水電的地方大部分在西部。水能資源不少，但分布不合理。應(yīng)該通過電網(wǎng)建設(shè)調(diào)整布局使電力資源得到最大優(yōu)化我國幅員遼闊各種可再生資源比較豐富，要充分利用可再生資源，能夠?qū)崿F(xiàn)綠色電能的效果。
受經(jīng)濟增長、尤其是工業(yè)生產(chǎn)增長的強勁拉動，我國電力需求實現(xiàn)高速增長，但是我國用電增長地區(qū)分布不均。用電增長按地區(qū)分布很不平衡，總體來看我國東部沿海經(jīng)濟發(fā)達地區(qū)用電強勁增長，西部地區(qū)高耗能產(chǎn)業(yè)分布較多的省區(qū)用電增長幅度也較大，中部地區(qū)增長較慢，我國電力系統(tǒng)的負荷也呈現(xiàn)出結(jié)構(gòu)性變化。現(xiàn)在環(huán)境問題越來越來嚴(yán)峻，現(xiàn)在的電力建設(shè)必須考慮這一點。在第二部分介紹我國電力系統(tǒng)的現(xiàn)狀，第三部分是對我國電力系統(tǒng)發(fā)展趨勢的闡述。
電源結(jié)構(gòu)不斷調(diào)整 我國電力行業(yè)的產(chǎn)業(yè)政策主旨是優(yōu)化電源結(jié)構(gòu)，加強電網(wǎng)建設(shè)。優(yōu)先發(fā)展水電、核電、風(fēng)電、太陽能發(fā)電、生物質(zhì)發(fā)電等可再生能源及新能源，而對煤電則立足優(yōu)化結(jié)構(gòu)、節(jié)約資源、重視環(huán)保、提高技術(shù)經(jīng)濟水平。上大壓小的舉措提高了火電行業(yè)平均單機裝機容量，增強了行業(yè)的總體經(jīng)濟效益，提高了環(huán)境效益。對于新能源的各項政策及規(guī)劃，將引導(dǎo)降低火電在電力中的占比，增加水電、核電、風(fēng)電的比例，優(yōu)化電力結(jié)構(gòu)。在行業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變化的同時，衡量電力企業(yè)競爭力的因素也正發(fā)生變化。節(jié)能發(fā)電調(diào)度辦法的出臺，在很大程度上改變了行業(yè)內(nèi)企業(yè)的競爭格局；那些新能源發(fā)電比例高、資源利用率高的企業(yè)將更具長期的競爭優(yōu)勢。面對我國的嚴(yán)峻能源環(huán)境形勢，“節(jié)能減排”側(cè)重于“節(jié)流”，而對于新能源的鼓勵則側(cè)重于“開源”?！犊稍偕茉捶ā返念C布，從法律上確認了國家將可再生能源的開發(fā)利用列為能源發(fā)展的優(yōu)先領(lǐng)域，該法規(guī)定政府必須制定可再生能源開發(fā)利用總量目標(biāo)和采取相應(yīng)措施，推動可再生能源市場的建立和發(fā)展。到2020年，我國小水電總發(fā)電裝機容量將達到7500萬千瓦，年替代8000萬噸標(biāo)準(zhǔn)煤；風(fēng)力發(fā)電裝機容量可以達到4000萬千瓦，年替代3000萬噸標(biāo)準(zhǔn)煤；生物質(zhì)發(fā)電裝機容量達到2000萬千瓦，年替代2800萬噸標(biāo)準(zhǔn)煤；生物油開發(fā)可達到年產(chǎn)2000萬噸標(biāo)準(zhǔn)煤；太陽能熱水器總集熱面積達到2.7億平方米，年替代10000多萬噸標(biāo)準(zhǔn)煤。專家表示，如能實現(xiàn)上述發(fā)展目標(biāo)，我國到2020年可再生能源開發(fā)利用總量將達到3億噸標(biāo)準(zhǔn)煤，約占屆時一次能源消費總量的10%。節(jié)能發(fā)電調(diào)度等政策在很大程度上改變了行業(yè)內(nèi)企業(yè)的競爭格局；大機組比例高、新能源發(fā)電比例高、資源利用率高、煤耗低的“三高一低”企業(yè)，如水電中的長電、桂冠、川投；火電中華能、大唐、國電等將更具長期的競爭優(yōu)勢。風(fēng)電短期內(nèi)業(yè)績釋放不明顯，但是我們看好其長期增長潛力及速度，如銀星能源等。
西電東送和全國聯(lián)網(wǎng)發(fā)展迅速。我國能源資源和電力負荷分布的不均衡性，決定了“西電東送”是我國的必然選擇。西電東送重點在于輸送水電電能。按照經(jīng)濟性原則，適度建設(shè)燃煤電站，實施西電東送。目前，西電東送已進入全面實施階段：貴州到廣東500千伏交、直流輸變電工程已先后投產(chǎn)運行，向廣東送電規(guī)模已達1088萬千瓦。三峽到華東、廣東±500千伏直流輸變電工程先后投產(chǎn)。蒙西、山西、陜西地區(qū)向京津唐電網(wǎng)送電能力逐步增加。華北與東北、福建與華東、川渝與華中等一批聯(lián)網(wǎng)工程已經(jīng)投入運行， 2003年跨區(qū)交換電量達到862億千瓦時。
截至2005年7月，除海南外已經(jīng)初步實現(xiàn)了全國聯(lián)網(wǎng)，初步實現(xiàn)了跨區(qū)域資源的優(yōu)化配置，區(qū)域電網(wǎng)間的電力電量交換更加頻繁，交易類型出現(xiàn)了中長期、短期、超短期、可中斷交易等多種模式，呈現(xiàn)多樣化的良好局面，由于跨區(qū)跨省電力交易比較活躍，部分聯(lián)網(wǎng)輸電通道長期保持大功率送電。西電東送、全國聯(lián)網(wǎng)工程對調(diào)劑電力余缺、緩解電力供應(yīng)緊張和促進資源優(yōu)化配置起到重要作用。
風(fēng)力發(fā)電建設(shè)規(guī)模逐步擴大。從“七五”開始建設(shè)風(fēng)電場，到2004年底，內(nèi)地已建成43個風(fēng)電場，累計裝機1292臺，總裝機容量達到76.4萬千瓦，占全國電力裝機的0.17%。單機容量達到2000千瓦。
2.2.2地?zé)岚l(fā)電得到應(yīng)用。到1993年底，西藏地?zé)岚l(fā)電的總裝機達到28.13兆瓦，約占全國地?zé)岚l(fā)電裝機(包括臺灣在內(nèi))的94%；年發(fā)電量9700萬千瓦時，占拉薩電網(wǎng)約20%。
太陽能發(fā)電開始起步。至1999年，光伏發(fā)電系統(tǒng)累計裝機容量超過13兆瓦。2004年建成容量為1兆瓦的太陽能發(fā)電系統(tǒng)，這是目前中國乃至亞洲總裝機容量第一的并網(wǎng)光伏發(fā)電系統(tǒng)，同時，也是世界上為數(shù)不多的兆瓦級大型太陽能光伏發(fā)電系統(tǒng)之一。
小水電建設(shè)取得巨大成績。截止到2000年底，全國已建成小水電站4萬多座，裝機達2485萬千瓦，占全國水電裝機的32，4％，占世界小水電開發(fā)量的40％以上，年發(fā)電量800億千瓦時，占全國水電發(fā)電量的36.27%。
國民經(jīng)濟持續(xù)快速增長，對電力的拉動作用巨大。上世紀(jì)70年代起，我國基本處于長期嚴(yán)重缺電的局面，電力供應(yīng)短缺是制約經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的主要瓶頸。隨著電力工業(yè)快速發(fā)展，1997年開始實現(xiàn)了電力供需的基本平衡，部分地區(qū)供大于求。進入新世紀(jì)，隨著我國實施西部大開發(fā)戰(zhàn)略，實行積極財政政策和擴大內(nèi)需的經(jīng)濟方針，國民經(jīng)濟持續(xù)發(fā)展，電力需求增長也屢創(chuàng)新高。繼2001年用電增長9%之后，2002年增長11.8%、2003年增長15.4%、2004年增長14.8%。經(jīng)濟較發(fā)達的長江三角洲、珠江三角洲等沿海地區(qū)電力需求持續(xù)旺盛。從2002年下半年開始，全國電力供需狀況又趨緊張，發(fā)電裝機利用率（利用小時數(shù)）大幅提高，局部地區(qū)開始啟用限電措施。2003年～2004年，全國電力供需平衡繼續(xù)總體偏緊。整體看來，由于人均發(fā)電裝機占有量偏低，電力供應(yīng)的高速增長仍難以滿足更快增長的電力需求，電力工業(yè)仍存在較大發(fā)展空間。
經(jīng)濟發(fā)展不平衡，使電力需求不平衡。受經(jīng)濟增長、尤其是工業(yè)生產(chǎn)增長的強勁拉動，我國電力需求實現(xiàn)高速增長，但是我國用電增長地區(qū)分布不均。用電增長按地區(qū)分布很不平衡，總體來看我國東部沿海經(jīng)濟發(fā)達地區(qū)用電強勁增長，西部地區(qū)高耗能產(chǎn)業(yè)分布較多的省區(qū)用電增長幅度也較大，中部地區(qū)增長較慢。主要表現(xiàn)為：
(1)用電負荷普遍高于用電量增長，具有不確定性。夏季表現(xiàn)為負荷增長快，冬季表現(xiàn)為用電量增長快。
(2)隨著夏季降溫負荷所占的比重逐漸加大，氣溫氣候?qū)ψ畲筘摵傻脑鲩L影響越來越大，使最大負荷增長的隨機性增大，對溫度的敏感性也越大，高溫季節(jié)的熱場面積不斷擴大，各網(wǎng)達到最高負荷有同時性。除東北、西北年負荷曲線是雙峰形之外，其他各網(wǎng)全年最大負荷同現(xiàn)在夏季，年內(nèi)季不均衡增大。這是經(jīng)濟和社會發(fā)展的特征標(biāo)志之一。
(3)高峰負荷持續(xù)的時間短，華東電網(wǎng)全年負荷超過95%,最大負荷的時間在100h以內(nèi)，超過90%最大負荷時間為200-300h；華中電網(wǎng)全年負荷超過95%最大負荷的時間在30h以內(nèi)，超過90%最大負荷的時間在120h以內(nèi)，北京供電局0.85倍最高及以上的運行天數(shù)為17天，而2001年則為43天。
(4)年平均月不均衡系數(shù)變化不大，但夏季不均衡系數(shù)明顯低于冬季月不均衡系數(shù)，冬夏典型日負荷率尤其是夏季黃型的負荷率，日最小負荷率有明顯上升。我國現(xiàn)在電力系統(tǒng)發(fā)電能力增長趨緩，有利于發(fā)揮現(xiàn)有的發(fā)電能力，但是對今后電力供應(yīng)會造成影響。現(xiàn)在看來，全國綜合利用小時達到4860h，大體上是一個臨界點了，電力平衡處于一種略微偏緊的平衡。局部地區(qū)已出現(xiàn)拉閘限電，福建、安徽省有多余電力；華中電網(wǎng)供需基本平衡，其中河南較為緊張，而江西電力則有余。川渝電網(wǎng)受來水影響，冬季較緊張，也出現(xiàn)了拉閘限電，東北電網(wǎng)仍然有富余的電力，西北電網(wǎng)供需基本平衡。
進一步提高，水電開發(fā)率較低，清潔發(fā)電裝機總?cè)萘克急壤^??；二是20萬千瓦及以下機組超過1億千瓦（4403臺），其中10萬千瓦及以下有6570萬千瓦（3993臺），加之目前各地小機組關(guān)停步伐明顯放緩、企業(yè)自備燃油機組增多，燃煤和燃油小機組仍占有過高比重，投入運行的60萬千瓦及以上火電機組僅55臺，大型機組為數(shù)較少；三是在運行空冷機組容量約500萬千瓦，與三北缺水地區(qū)裝機容量相比，所占比例低，其節(jié)水優(yōu)勢沒有體現(xiàn)出來；四是熱電聯(lián)產(chǎn)機組少，城市集中供熱普及率為27％；五是電源調(diào)峰能力不足，主要依靠燃煤火電機組降負荷運行，調(diào)峰經(jīng)濟性較差。
電力生產(chǎn)主要技術(shù)指標(biāo)與國際水平還有一定差距。火電機組參數(shù)等級不夠先進，亞臨界及以上參數(shù)機組占40％，高壓、超高壓參數(shù)機組占29％，高壓及以下參數(shù)機組占31％；超臨界機組僅960萬千瓦，占火電裝機總量的2.95%。國產(chǎn)大機組的經(jīng)濟性落后于相應(yīng)進口機組，30萬千瓦容量等級，國產(chǎn)亞臨界機組的供電煤耗比進口機組高4～12g/kWh；60萬千瓦容量等級，國產(chǎn)亞臨界機組的供電煤耗比進口機組高20～23g/kWh，比進口超臨界機組高28～39.5g/kWh。在30萬千瓦、60萬千瓦亞臨界機組主、輔機引進消化過程中，由于主、輔機出力、可靠性等因素影響，形成從標(biāo)準(zhǔn)上、設(shè)計和管理上要求增大輔機配備裕度，直接導(dǎo)致輔機運行偏離經(jīng)濟工況，廠用電升高，機組經(jīng)濟性下降。電網(wǎng)的平均損失率為7.71%,尚有進一步降低的空間。清潔煤發(fā)電技術(shù)、核電技術(shù)的進步較慢，大型超(超)臨界機組、大型燃氣輪機、大型抽水蓄能設(shè)備及高壓直流輸電設(shè)備等本地化水平還比較低，自主開發(fā)和設(shè)計制造能力不強，不能滿足電力工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)升級和技術(shù)進步的需要。
資源條件制約發(fā)展。我國水能、煤炭較豐富，油、氣資源不足，且分布很不均衡。水能資源居世界首位，但3/4以上的水能資源分布在西部。我國煤炭探明保有儲量居世界第三位，人均儲量為世界平均水平的55%。我國天然氣和石油人均儲量僅為世界平均水平的11%和4.5%。風(fēng)能和太陽能等新能源發(fā)電受技術(shù)因素限制，多為間歇性能源，短期內(nèi)所占比重不可能太高，需要引導(dǎo)積極開發(fā)。
電力發(fā)展與資源、環(huán)境矛盾日益突出。電力生產(chǎn)高度依賴煤炭，大量開發(fā)和燃燒煤炭引發(fā)環(huán)境生態(tài)問題，包括地面沉陷、地下水系遭到破壞，酸雨危害的地理面積逐年擴大，溫室氣體和固體廢料的大量排放等?；鹆Πl(fā)電需要耗用大量的淡水資源，而我國淡水資源短缺，人均占有量為世界平均水平的1/4，且分布不均，其中華北和西北屬嚴(yán)重缺水地區(qū)。同時，我國也是世界上水土流失、土地荒漠化和環(huán)境污染嚴(yán)重的國家之一。以我國的發(fā)展階段分析，未來若干年，是大量消耗資源、人與自然之間沖突極為激烈的時期。目前的能源消耗方式，是我國能源、水資源和環(huán)境容量無法支撐的。
經(jīng)濟增長方式需要轉(zhuǎn)變。當(dāng)前我國經(jīng)濟尚屬于高投入、高消耗、高排放、不協(xié)調(diào)、難循環(huán)、低效率的粗放型增長模式。若按近幾年的用電增速計算，2020年全國電力需求將高達11萬億千瓦時，相應(yīng)發(fā)電裝機24億千瓦，發(fā)電用煤將超過50億噸，是目前的6倍，這顯然是不可能的。在持續(xù)、快速的經(jīng)濟增長背景下，經(jīng)濟增長方式中長期被GDP數(shù)字大幅上升掩蓋的不足正逐漸顯現(xiàn)，直接給經(jīng)濟運行帶來隱憂。經(jīng)濟增長方式需要根本性轉(zhuǎn)變，以保證國民經(jīng)濟可持續(xù)發(fā)展。改革開放以來，通過科技進步和效率提高，我國產(chǎn)值單耗不斷下降，單位產(chǎn)值電耗從1980年的0.21千瓦時降至2000年的0.151千瓦時,下降了0.059千瓦時。假如未來20年仍能保持這樣的下降幅度，按照2020年GDP翻兩番的目標(biāo)，約可減少電耗3.22萬億千瓦時。節(jié)能提效空間巨大。
電網(wǎng)安全要求不斷提高。我國電網(wǎng)進入快速發(fā)展時期，大電網(wǎng)具有大規(guī)模輸送能量，實現(xiàn)跨流域調(diào)節(jié)、減少備用容量，推遲新機組投產(chǎn)，降低電力工業(yè)整體成本，提高效率等優(yōu)點。但隨著目前電網(wǎng)進一步擴展，影響安全的因素增多，技術(shù)更加復(fù)雜，需要協(xié)調(diào)的問題更多，事故可能波及的范圍更廣，造成的損失可能會更大。8·14美加電網(wǎng)事故造成大范圍停電給全世界敲響了警鐘，大電網(wǎng)的電力安全要求更高。